Will / Did

Wednesday, November 4, 2026

360,461,833 USD in trading volume across this poem's underlying markets.

  1. $787
    Will the biggest earthquake on November sixth, twenty twenty-six be five point three to five point four?
  2. $138.0M
    The Democrats did win the Colorado governor race in twenty twenty-six.
  3. $2.0M
    Will the highest temperature in Moscow be seven degrees or higher on November sixth?
  4. $243.9K
    Will US x Iran effective ceasefire continue through December thirty-first, twenty twenty-six?
  5. $19.0M
    The Republican Party did not win the KS-three House seat.
  6. $17.4K
    Did Flavio Cobolli Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals twenty twenty-six? Yes.
  7. $570
    Will the White House call a full lid by six thirty in the evening on November seventh?
  8. $305
    St. Louis, MO did face tornado risk on November third.
  9. $887
    GPT Astra six point one (or more) did not get released on or prior to November third, twenty twenty-six.
  10. $288
    The next Meta Muse Spark model did not get released on or prior to November third, twenty twenty-six.
  11. $5.0K
    The next Gemini Flash-Lite model (three point six (or more)) did not get released on November third, twenty twenty-six.
  12. $3.1K
    Gemini Carbon did not get released on November third, twenty twenty-six.
  13. $1.5M
    The twenty twenty-six Midterm Elections did happen as scheduled.
  14. $17.5K
    More than five hundred ninety-five thousand Chinook did not pass Bonneville Dam by October thirty-first.
  15. $12.8K
    Donald Trump did not publicly insult Andy Burnham by October thirty-first, twenty twenty-six.
  16. $14.7K
    Trump did say "Veto" this week.
  17. $7.0K
    Ukraine did target Moscow on November fourth, twenty twenty-six.
  18. $21.5K
    Jan Holásek did not end up the next Mayor of Hradec Králové.
  19. $29.3K
    The loser of the Maine Senate election did concede by November fourth.
  20. $222.9K
    AP did call US House control by November fourth, eleven fifty-nine in the evening.
  21. $59.8K
    Republican House incumbents did not win in between four and six nominating elections in the twenty twenty-six cycle.
  22. $26.3K
    A eight (or more) earthquake did not occur worldwide by October thirty-first.
  23. $519.5K
    The Democratic Party candidate did win the twenty twenty-six Texas Lieutenant Governor election.
  24. $94.8M
    The Democratic Party did control the Senate after the twenty twenty-six Midterm elections.
  25. $325.7K
    Minnesota did not use a new congressional map for the twenty twenty-six United States midterm elections.
  26. $2.4M
    Oil did not end up below eighty dollars on November second and the Republicans win the Senate.
  27. $192.9K
    Republicans did not hold fifty-three (or more) Senate seats and two hundred eight to two hundred twenty-two House seats after the twenty twenty-six midterms.
  28. $177.0K
    Was there another US government shutdown by January thirty-first and did the Republican Party win the House in twenty twenty-six? No.
  29. $1.4K
    Ten earthquakes of five and a half or above magnitude worldwide did not happen.
  30. $50.9K
    Republicans did not win the Vermont Governor race, and Democrats win New Hampshire.
  31. $2.9K
    It did not snow in Salt Lake City, UT by October thirty-first.
  32. $8.3M
    The Republican Party did not hold exactly forty-eight Senate seats after the twenty twenty-six midterm elections.
  33. $71.9K
    Will Nikkei two hundred twenty-five (NIK) go up, on November fifth?
  34. $30.7K
    Will S&P five hundred (SPY) close above seven hundred thirty-five dollars on November fifth?
  35. $15.8K
    Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) close above ninety-four dollars on November fifth?
  36. $6.6K
    Arizona did pass ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access.
  37. $97.1K
    Democrats did win all "core four" senate races.
  38. $2.3K
    Arizona did pass traffic camera ballot measure.
  39. $16.1K
    Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva did not win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate.
  40. $13.7K
    Arkansas did pass ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting.
  41. $171.5K
    Democrats did not win the Kansas Governor election and Republicans win the Kansas Senate election.
  42. $31.6K
    The Democrats did not fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire hold through twenty twenty-seven.
  43. $11.8K
    The Republican Party and Democratic Party did not hold the same number of governorships after the midterms.
  44. $113.1K
    The Democratic Party did hold more governorships after the twenty twenty-six midterms.
  45. $5.2K
    The Virginia abortion protection amendment did pass.
  46. $3.9K
    The Missouri abortion & sex did not change for minors ban pass.
  47. $9.2K
    Will the US national average gas price be between four point one two dollars and four point one two nine nine dollars on November fifth?
  48. $2.3M
    Bitcoin did reach eighty thousand dollars November second to eighth.
  49. $471.3K
    Orlando Sanchez did not win the twenty twenty-six Harris County Judge election.
  50. $92
    Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least twenty million?
  51. $333
    Will the earnings call not air?
  52. $35.7K
    Republicans did lose a seat in the House of Representatives in some state Trump won in twenty twenty-four.
  53. $70
    Will "AION two" be the number one Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of November third to November tenth, twenty twenty-six?
  54. $2.7K
    Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least nine million?
  55. $28.7K
    Ethereum did end up above two thousand three hundred ninety on November fourth, eleven in the morning, Eastern time.
  56. $5.7K
    Uber did say "Autonomous" during earnings call.
  57. $18.6K
    Voter turnout did not end up seventy-nine percent or higher in the twenty twenty-six Israeli legislative election.
  58. $12.4K
    Parties below the electoral threshold did not receive eight percent or higher of the vote in the twenty twenty-six Israeli legislative election.
  59. $79.5K
    Trump did not speak to Pope Leo XIV by October thirty-first.
  60. $82
    US gas did hit a low of four point one four dollars the week of November second.
  61. $36.3K
    ISM Services PMI did not end up between fifty-five and fifty-five point nine in October.
  62. $205
    Missouri did not pass ballot measure to redistrict.
  63. $950.1K
    Will Bitcoin go up, on November sixth?
  64. $2.1M
    The price of XRP did end up above one point three dollars on November fourth.
  65. $21.4K
    Idaho did not pass ballot measure legalizing abortion.
  66. $11.8K
    Did the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and Israel and Hamas not agree to ceasefire Phase II by the end of twenty twenty-seven? No.
  67. $17.3K
    Did the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US government not take a stake in OpenAI or Anthropic by the end of twenty twenty-seven? No.
  68. $11.2K
    Did the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and no Chinese company have the number one AI model by the end of twenty twenty-seven? No.
  69. $28.1K
    The Democrats did not fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US enter a recession by the end of twenty twenty-seven.
  70. $1.3K
    Will S&P five hundred (SPY) hit a low of seven hundred sixty dollars in the week of November second, twenty twenty-six?
  71. $9.8K
    Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit a low of two hundred sixty-four dollars in November?
  72. $84.5K
    Was ACA premium tax credits not extended and did the Republican Party win the House in twenty twenty-six? No.
  73. $1.8K
    Moonshot did publish Kimi K three point one Pro weights by November fourth.
  74. $5.2K
    The Ornn H two hundred Index did hit a high of seven dollars by December thirty-first, twenty twenty-six.
  75. $30.3K
    Opendoor Technologies Inc. did open hit a low of two dollars in the week of November second, twenty twenty-six.
  76. $737.3K
    A Hormuz agreement, oil below eighty dollars, and the Democrats win the Senate did not happen.
  77. $48.0K
    Did the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and US gas not hit three and a half dollars by the end of twenty twenty-six? No.
  78. $10.5K
    Did the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and a Democrat not win the twenty twenty-eight presidential election? No.
  79. $2.2K
    Arizona did pass drug cartel ballot measure.
  80. $3.9K
    AOC did flip Newsom for twenty twenty-eight president by December thirty-first.
  81. $16.9K
    Republicans did lose some "Solid / Likely R" House race.
  82. $17.1K
    Republicans did not win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state.
  83. $3.5K
    Reps did not lose Senate Seat in any Trump+ten State and win in a Kamala State.
  84. $68.5K
    Republicans did not win one Senate and Governor election in states won by Kamala.
  85. $5.7K
    Will MrBeast's next video get less than sixty-seven million views on day five?
  86. $781
    Four (or more) Independents did not get elected to Congress in twenty twenty-six.
  87. $986.1K
    White House did not post one hundred sixty to one hundred seventy-nine posts from October thirtieth to November sixth, twenty twenty-six.
  88. $45.6K
    US crude oil reserves did not fall to two hundred fifty million by October thirtieth, twenty twenty-six.
  89. $3.6K
    Trump did say "Strait," "Hormuz," or "Blockade" on November fourth.
  90. $1.0K
    It did not rain in Philadelphia, PA on November third.
  91. $69.7K
    Trump did not speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October thirty-first.
  92. $64.3K
    Houthis did not target Syria by October thirty-first, twenty twenty-six.
  93. $285.8K
    Democrats did not win ten (or more) House seats in Michigan in the twenty twenty-six midterm elections.
  94. $1.3K
    Donald Trump did publicly insult someone on November fourth, twenty twenty-six.
  95. $30.4K
    The five-year Treasury yield did dip below four point seven percent before twenty twenty-seven.
  96. $834.8K
    Republicans did not win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats.
  97. $2.5K
    Qualcomm (QCOM) Q four QCT chip revenue did end up above eight and three quarters billion dollars.
  98. $2.7M
    Republicans did not win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa.
  99. $56.5M
    Republicans did not win Alaska and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas.
  100. $6.6M
    Republicans did not win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas.
  101. $1.3K
    Conductor (Melty Labs) did get acquired before twenty twenty-seven.
  102. $52.4K
    Goodyear (GT) did not beat quarterly earnings.
  103. $56.3K
    Did the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? Yes.
  104. $145.5K
    The Bank of Brazil did not decrease the target for the Selic rate by fifty (or more) bps at the November meeting.
  105. $51
    Will "Surviving Hurricane Otis" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
  106. $130.2K
    Democrats did not win the Kansas and Iowa Governor races, and Republicans win Ohio.
  107. $5.5K
    Massachusetts did not pass jungle primary ballot measure.
  108. $80
    Will two hundred seventy-five to two hundred seventy-nine vote for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?
  109. $464.9K
    Vivek Ramaswamy did pull the Amy Acton mother ad.
  110. $2.6K
    Drake did not release a new album by October thirty-first.
  111. $144.5K
    Trump did not say "Burger" in October.
  112. $5.7K
    Jim Jordan did run for Republican House Leader.
  113. $1.4K
    Will there be exactly one government shutdown by December thirty-first, twenty twenty-seven?
  114. $10.0K
    Voters did not pick the one thousand eight hundred seventy-three Colt Single Action Army Revolver "Peacemaker" (.forty-five Colt) as the state gun of Idaho.
  115. $7.8K
    Voters did pick the Winchester Model one thousand eight hundred seventy-three "Gun that Won the West" (.forty-four to forty) as the state gun of Idaho.
  116. $15.9K
    Yemeni forces did not enter Sanaa by October thirty-first.
  117. $1.8K
    Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week nine of Dancing With The Stars: Season thirty-five?
  118. $106
    Will Trump insult Hegseth by December thirty-first?
  119. $74
    Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" at Cape Canaveral?
  120. $138
    Will Trump say "Drone" at Cape Canaveral?
  121. $365
    Will the new Senate confirm a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by January thirty-first, twenty twenty-seven?
  122. $200
    Will the AP call the Alaska Senate race by November eighth?
  123. $252.5K
    Republicans did not sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections.
  124. $15.4M
    HYPE did go down, November fourth, ten in the evening, Eastern time.